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Volume 26, Issue 2, Pages 170-175 (February 2008)


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Predictors of mortality in patients with necrotizing fasciitis

Cheng-Ting Hsiao, MDa, Hsu-Huei Weng, MD, MPHbcd, Yao-Dong Yuan, MDe, Chih-Tsung Chen, MDa, I-Chuan Chen, MDaCorresponding Author Informationemail address

Received 5 March 2007; received in revised form 19 April 2007; accepted 20 April 2007.

Abstract 

Background

Necrotizing fasciitis is an uncommon and life-threatening soft tissue infection with high mortality. Though early aggressive surgical intervention is important for improving survival, the impact of mortality from different microorganisms remains uncertain. Our study aims to identify the association of mortality and different microorganisms, and the positive and negative predictors of mortality in patients with necrotizing fasciitis.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study enrolled patients admitted via the emergency department (ED) with discharged diagnosis of necrotizing fasciitis (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, code 72886). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify microbiological, clinical, and biochemical variables independently associated with the mortality of necrotizing fasciitis.

Results

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Vibrio infection, Aeromonas infection, hypotension, malignancy, and band form 10% or greater were significantly associated with increase of mortality (P < .05). They were considered as positive predictors of mortality. The presence of hemorrhagic bullae, however, was significantly associated with decrease of mortality (P < .05). It was considered as negative predictor of mortality.

Conclusion

Aeromonas infection, Vibrio infection, cancer, hypotension, and band form white blood cell count greater than 10% are independent positive predictors of mortality in patients with necrotizing fasciitis. Streptococcal and staphylococcal infections, in contrast, are not predictors of mortality. The presence of hemorrhagic bullae is an independent negative predictor of mortality. Further study should focus on the accuracy of these factors.

a Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Puzih City, Chiayi County 613, Taiwan

b Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chiayi, Taiwan

c Department of Nursing, Chang Gung Institute of Technology, Chiayi, Taiwan

d Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohshung, Taiwan

e Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Taoyuan County 333, Taiwan

Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author. Tel.: +886 5 3621000 2639; fax: +886 5 3623002.

PII: S0735-6757(07)00304-X

doi:10.1016/j.ajem.2007.04.023


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